538 Forecast 2024. From 75 days out — around when we relaunched our 2024 forecast — to election day, the expected change in margin is closer to 6 points. 538 is excited to unveil our forecast for vice president kamala harris and former president donald trump.
This is an electoral map projection derived from the 2024 election forecast from 538. A consensus outlook for the 2024 house elections based on the current ratings of these forecasters.